How did property prices go in 2024? And what’s tipped for 2025?

2024 has been a year of change, with property values and market conditions shifting across many of our state and territory capitals.

In fact, the only constant has been the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate, which has held steady at 4.35% since November 2023.

After a year that saw home values rise nationally by 5.5%, according to CoreLogic, it’s worth looking at what we can expect in the new year.

The Australia-wide picture

November 2024 saw home values rise nationally by a barely perceptible 0.1%.

Technically speaking, it’s the 22nd straight month of growth since January 2023. But realistically, 0.1% hardly qualifies as a cracking pace of growth.

Quite simply, CoreLogic says the market is losing steam, and a downturn is gathering momentum – particularly in Melbourne and Sydney.

That’s good news for buyers who may be able to take advantage of softer price growth in 2025.

However, in a market as large and diverse as Australia, it pays to drill down to local trends.

With this in mind, let’s take a look across our major capital cities.

Queensland

Brisbane home prices have climbed 12.1% over the past year. Can the growth be maintained? Maybe, though perhaps not to the same

extent. Domain is predicting price growth ranging from 5-7% for houses, and 7-9% for apartments in 2025.

New South Wales

Sydney is up 3.3% over the past year and likely hit a cycle peak in August. Home values have flattened or fallen ever since, says

CoreLogic, with the city’s median home price of $1.2 million proving an affordability challenge. Domain is predicting a 4-6% rise

in home values through next year.

Victoria

Melbourne took out the wooden spoon for property price growth in 2024, recording a 2.3% fall in prices over the last 12 months. The

new year could bring a change of pace. Domain predicts house values could rise 3-5% in 2025 though apartments are expected to dro

p by up to 2%.

Australian Capital Territory

Home prices in Canberra have barely budged in 2024, declining by just 0.1% in the past 12 months. Domain is taking an optimistic

view, expecting house values to rise by 3-5% next year, while unit values could drop by up to 4%.

Tasmania

Hobart values fell 1% in the year to November, bringing the total falls to 12.1% since the market peaked in March 2022. However, more

affordable prices plus generous stamp duty reforms launched in mid-2024 could make 2025 a big year for first home buyers in Tassie.

South Australia

Home values in Adelaide have jumped 14% over the past year. However, CoreLogic says Adelaide’s 2.8% rise in values over the past

three months was the lowest since June 2023. Even so, there may be plenty of steam left in the market, with Domain forecasting a 7-

9% rise in prices in 2025.

Western Australia

Perth has seen home prices soar 21% over the past 12 months. But with listings up 33% in November, CoreLogic says the pace of price

growth is slowing. Domain is expecting prices to rise by a more modest 8-10% next year – still nothing to sneeze at.

Northern Territory

Prices in Darwin have barely budged this year, mustering up just 0.9% growth over the past 12 months. Next year may be better. SQM

Research is predicting home values in Darwin could rise anywhere from 3% to 10% in 2025 depending on interest rates and population

growth.

Get to know your borrowing power

A cooler market could be the opportunity you’ve been itching for to buy a property next year.

Call us today if buying a first home, investment property or upgrading your current home is on your radar for 2025 – we’ll help give

you a clearer idea of your borrowing power.

 

 

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Could rate cuts mean house prices heat up again?


September saw the nation’s official cash rate kept on hold once again. But there is growing consensus that the RBA may cut the cash rate at one of its next few meetings.

Several of the big banks, including Westpac and NAB, are expecting rate cuts in the first half of next year.

Others, such as the Commonwealth Bank, are forecasting a rate cut in time for Christmas.

While lower rates can’t come soon enough for many struggling mortgage holders, there is one issue that has been largely overlooked, and that’s how home prices might respond to a cash rate cut.

Here’s what the experts say may happen.

How home values could respond to rate cuts

First up, it’s worth pointing out that higher rates have been with us since mid-2022.

Yet property values have climbed rather than cooled since then, with the national median value rising from $752,507 in June 2022 to $807,110 today.

With that in mind, if interest rates fall, many pundits believe home values could head even higher.

The question is, how much higher?

Ray White Economics has done the maths based on past property price movements following a long-awaited rate cut.

According to their analysis, home prices nationally could rise by 0.6% within just one month of a rate cut.

REA Group has teased out the numbers further, saying that based on current median values, a 0.6% price rise could add an extra $5,000 to the average cost of a home across Australia.

And that’s for just one rate cut.

​​SQM Research director Louis Christopher says four cuts next year, while still a more remote possibility, could cause a huge rebound in property markets that have recently been weaker – such as Melbourne and Sydney.

The impact in your state capital

Exactly how home prices respond to rate cuts is likely to vary between locations.

Here’s what Ray White Economics and REA Group say could happen in capital cities in the first month after one official rate cut:

– Sydney: values rise 1.4% adding an extra $15,300 to the median property value.
– Melbourne: values rise 1.0%, pushing up the median price by $8,000.
– Brisbane: values climb 0.4%, adding $3,400 to home prices.
– Canberra: values increase 0.5%, pushing up prices by just over $4,000.
– Adelaide: values rise 0.3%, adding $2,300 to property prices.
– Perth and Darwin: no change to values.

It’s worth stressing that these numbers reflect how the market has responded to rate cuts in the past. Things could be very different in the future.

Perth, for example, currently has one of the nation’s strongest property markets, and Ray White Economics suggests that home values there could rise further following a cut to the cash rate.

Should I buy now?

Holding out for interest rate cuts may seem to make sense. After all, lower rates can boost your borrowing power.

But as we have seen, it could also work against you.

Lower rates may push up home prices, and potentially fuel increased competition among buyers.

That’s why we believe the “right” time to buy is when you are ready.

And today’s spring market comes with the added advantage of more choice for buyers.

According to CoreLogic, the flow of freshly-advertised housing stock hasn’t been this high at this time of the year since 2021.

So if you’re interested in buying your first or next home (with the potential benefit of getting one or several rate cuts soon after your purchase), get in touch with us today.

We’ll help you assess your borrowing power in the current market, and if you find the right house, we’ll help you find the right loan for it.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

The home loan feature 70% of new borrowers are hooked on

Faced with high interest rates and a cost of living crunch, home owners in droves are using home loan offset accounts to their advantage.

One of the nation’s biggest banks, NAB, reports that almost 70% of new home loan customers are opting for an offset account, up from 50% just two years ago. And it can help them save on interest.

How do offset accounts work?

An offset account is typically an everyday account (or multiple accounts) linked to your home loan.

You won’t earn interest on the money stored in the offset account/s. Instead, the balance is deducted from, or ‘offset’ against, the balance of your home loan when loan interest is calculated.

Say for instance you have a home loan of $400,000 and $20,000 in the linked offset account. You’ll only pay interest on $380,000 ($400,000 less $20,000).

This can reduce your monthly interest costs. And as your monthly repayment amount stays the same, more of each regular repayment goes towards paying off the loan balance. That is: more of your repayment amount goes to paying down the principal component of your principal + interest loan.

This in turn further reduces next month’s interest cost, too.

In fact, Macquarie Bank calculates that based on the above scenario with $20,000 in your offset account over the life of a 30-year loan (with an interest rate of 6%), you can save more than $87,000 in interest, and shave more than three years off your loan.

Even better, money in the offset is usually available to withdraw if needed – so the cash can be made available for unexpected bills.

How to use an offset account to your advantage

The bigger the balance of your offset account, the more you’ll likely save on loan interest.

According to NAB, one way to grow the value of your offset account is with a ‘three Cs’ strategy: crediting, consolidating and cutting back where you can.

Asking your employer to ‘credit’ your salary directly into the offset account could help maintain a higher balance.

If you have cash stored in a savings account, you could consider ‘consolidating’ it into your offset account. You may be able to earn interest of up to 5% on a savings account but if your mortgage rate begins with 6%, chances are you’ll save more with an offset account than you’ll earn on a savings account. Plus, interest savings in an offset aren’t taxed.

Meanwhile, ‘cutting’ back household spending where possible can help you boost the balance of your offset account to improve interest savings.

It’s an approach being used to great effect by plenty of home owners. NAB reports a 55% increase in the value of its offset accounts since the pandemic – rising from $29 billion in 2020 to more than $45 billion today.

Is a home loan offset account right for you?

Despite the popularity of offsets, they may not be a suitable choice for everyone.

An offset home loan can sometimes come with a higher rate than a more basic loan, and unless you consistently have a reasonable balance in the linked offset account, you could end up paying more than you save in interest.

Also, the money you store in an offset account could be used elsewhere as an investment – so it’s worth weighing up whether to prioritise reducing your home loan now or investing for the future.

If you’re not sure where to begin, contact us today to find out if a home loan offset could help you get ahead with your mortgage and save on interest.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

How much has your home’s value risen by?

Ask any long-term home owner what they originally paid for their property, and chances are they’ll respond with an eye-wateringly low figure.

Plenty of Australians look back on the price they paid for their home and marvel at how low it seems relative to current values – often while breathing a sigh of relief that they bought when they did.

This is not a recent trend.

Property has a strong track record for growth

Fun fact: over the last 100 years, residential property values in Australia have risen by an average of 10.9% annually.

Sure, there can be short term dips and periods when values plateau, but the broader trend has been upwards.

In dollar terms, this price growth can be mind-boggling.

Take Sydney, for instance, where the median house price back in mid-1992 was $221,770. Thirty years later, in 2022, the median value was $1,124,421. Today, it is $1,473,038.

It’s a similar story across all our major cities.

But what if you purchased more recently? What sort of increase in value has your home seen?

How much have home values increased since you purchased?

CoreLogic delved into the history books to see how national property values have risen since the year of purchase, starting with the mid-90s.

Looking at the results below, it’s pretty clear that the longer you’ve owned your home (or investment property), the bigger the potential rise in value.

Buyers who purchased about 30 years ago in 1995 could find their property is now worth more than five times what they originally paid thanks to a 437% increase in value.

If you purchased about 20 years ago back in 2005, your home may have jumped in value by 148% (2.5 times more than you bought it for).

Closer to the present, homes purchased in 2020 may have seen a 34% rise in value.

And even if you purchased your home last year, you may have already notched up capital growth of 4%.

Increase in national home values since year of purchase

1995: 437%
2000: 308%
2005: 148%
2010: 94%
2015: 57%
2020: 34%
2023: 4%

Source: CoreLogic article. Direct link to graph here.

Why a rise in your home’s value matters

A rise in your home’s value is worth much more than bragging rights at your next barbecue.

Increasing property values are a key source of household wealth in Australia.

Better still, a rise in your home’s value can make it easier to refinance to a more competitively-priced home loan, or provide the equity to invest in a rental property or achieve other personal goals such as funding your kids’ education.

Talk to us to start your property journey

The upshot is that when you buy a home – either as a first home buyer or upgrader – it’s worth keeping one eye on the future.

With the passage of time, the price you paid today can start to look like a better deal than it felt at the time, and you could be grateful you purchased when you did.

Call us today to find the home loan that helps you get started on your property journey, or to unlock equity in your current property.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

Property market set to blossom this spring

At last! It’s time to pack away the winter woollens, and dust off the t-shirts and shorts.

Spring is just around the corner, and that means sellers will be sprucing up their homes to attract as many buyers as possible.

Spring has always been a popular time for sellers and buyers alike. Gardens look lush, the warmer weather sees us head outdoors, and a home purchase can be settled in time for Christmas.

But there’s another reason why spring 2024 is likely to be especially busy.

20% more homes to choose from

Over the past decade, spring has seen new listings jump by more than 18% across the country, according to CoreLogic.

This gives buyers a wider selection of homes to choose from – and they certainly take advantage of it. Home sales across the country typically rise by more than 8% in spring.

This year, buyers could have an even bigger choice of homes to pick from.

According to CoreLogic, autumn and winter have seen real estate listings flow onto the market at an above average pace.

That’s seeing the market shift towards more of a balance in supply and demand – especially compared to last year, when sellers had the upper hand.

Even so, buyers should prepare for the spring selling season.

Quality homes don’t stay on the market for long. In Perth, for example, the median selling time is just 10 days at the moment, so buyers who act fast can have a competitive advantage.

3 steps to give yourself an edge

In the fast-paced spring market, home buyers could put themselves ahead of the competition by following three simple steps:

1. Establish a wish list

The more properties you inspect, the easier it can be to lose track of what you really want in a new home.

Cut through the confusion by making a list of must-have features. Follow this up with a rundown of features that are nice but not essential.

Having a wish list to work from can be a real time saver as it lets you focus on properties that tick all the boxes for your ideal home.

2. Know what you can afford

There’s no room for guesswork when it comes to buying a home.

Talk to us for a clear idea of your borrowing power. This lets you set a buying budget so you know which homes sit comfortably within your price range.

3. Have your home loan pre-approved

Nothing says you’re a serious buyer like having mortgage pre-approval. It’s a simple step that can eliminate a large part of the stress associated with home buying.

And if you’re buying at auction, pre-approval lets you bid with confidence while setting a clear limit for your highest bid.

We can help you arrange home loan pre-approval for a loan suited to your needs.

We’ll spring into action on your behalf

As the weather starts to heat back up, so too will the housing market. So if you’re looking to buy, now is a good time to get organised so that you’re home loan ready if the opportunity arises.

Call us for a personalised chat about your property goals, and discover how we can help you achieve them with a home loan that suits your needs.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.

How to buy an investment property using your home’s equity

We all have a few financial goals.

And right now, investing in a rental property is one of the more popular investment goals among Australians.

In fact, more than one-in-five Australians (21%) aspire to own investment properties to build their wealth, according to MLC’s Financial Freedom report. And interestingly, this percentage increases to 27% for Gen Zs and 23% for Gen Ys.

Investors are also piling into property, with lending for investment properties up more than 30% over the past year, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics data.

It’s not hard to see the appeal.

Rents have surged 39.7% over the past five years, rental vacancy rates are wafer thin at 1.3%, and home values nationally have jumped 13.5% since January 2023

Recent property price increases can hold the key

CoreLogic’s latest Pain and Gain report reveals that property profits have just hit a 14-year high.

This saw homes resold in the first quarter of 2024 dish up a median profit of $265,000.

So how does ‘cashing out equity’ in recent property gains work if you don’t sell your home?

Here’s one example.

Let’s say you bought a $750,000 house five years ago that, due to property price increases in recent years, is now valued at $1 million.

And let’s also say you took out a $600,000 loan for that house, which you’ve managed to pay down to $500,000.

By refinancing that remaining $500,000 home loan balance into a $700,000 loan (70% of your property’s new market value), you can unlock $200,000 in equity to use as a deposit for an investment property.

It’s also worth noting that when using this strategy banks will typically let you borrow up to 80% of a property’s market value.

So if you upped the ante and refinanced to an $800,000 loan, you could unlock $300,000 in equity.

This allows you to enjoy all the perks of becoming a property investor – including earning rental income, capital gains and possible tax benefits – potentially without drawing upon cash savings.

Better still, if your rental property grows in value, the rising equity in that property can be used to invest in additional properties.

Other strategies to become a property investor

There are plenty of pathways to becoming an investor.

You may have the funds available to pay a cash deposit.

Or you might be thinking of holding onto your current home, and using it as a rental after you upgrade to your next home.

Or, you might have other investment goals outside the property market altogether (such as using your home’s equity to invest in shares or boost your super balance).

What matters is that you know the options available for your situation.

Like to learn more? Call us today to find out how you could become a property investor.

Disclaimer: The content of this article is general in nature and is presented for informative purposes. It is not intended to constitute tax or financial advice, whether general or personal nor is it intended to imply any recommendation or opinion about a financial product. It does not take into consideration your personal situation and may not be relevant to circumstances. Before taking any action, consider your own particular circumstances and seek professional advice. This content is protected by copyright laws and various other intellectual property laws. It is not to be modified, reproduced or republished without prior written consent.